Description

This analysis provides a forecast of RUNE prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-09-29 2.975229 3.498719 4.058195 4.697543 5.404844 6.160388 7.025438
2024-10-06 2.356157 3.098580 3.951668 4.991041 6.209738 7.580474 9.225530
2024-10-13 1.888604 2.760104 3.830051 5.208033 6.903304 8.889667 11.360921
2024-10-20 1.499422 2.431843 3.651435 5.303638 7.423565 9.994865 13.289793
2024-10-27 1.151725 2.083475 3.383171 5.232406 7.700159 10.788537 14.850721
2024-11-03 0.950437 1.897976 3.296444 5.369943 8.226694 11.891606 16.810628
2024-11-10 0.779803 1.721630 3.191164 5.456832 8.671378 12.888308 18.650419
2024-11-17 0.601423 1.491618 2.969998 5.347297 8.825524 13.493776 19.988584
2024-11-24 0.455934 1.282771 2.748411 5.206709 8.912550 13.995547 21.187674
2024-12-01 0.357740 1.138046 2.608372 5.169902 9.133701 14.672843 22.622985
2024-12-08 0.274970 1.000687 2.459017 5.099078 9.291099 15.255850 23.934304
2024-12-15 0.240128 0.963541 2.484241 5.309715 9.873433 16.444017 26.088431
2024-12-22 0.192738 0.882199 2.419025 5.369598 10.237092 17.346499 27.893417
2024-12-29 0.173026 0.870110 2.488068 5.663382 10.974929 18.805766 30.502903
2025-01-05 0.149960 0.840359 2.516730 5.886213 11.607110 20.125515 32.942013
2025-01-12 0.121783 0.782685 2.478037 5.983381 12.038976 21.159272 34.995168
2025-01-19 0.088969 0.690598 2.348926 5.902412 12.174269 21.752964 36.430376
2025-01-26 0.073388 0.655531 2.343685 6.050416 12.687451 22.917917 38.697378
2025-02-02 0.058317 0.612671 2.312635 6.144084 13.109132 23.949193 40.783191
2025-02-09 0.039552 0.534207 2.179117 6.024559 13.161950 24.416482 42.055181
2025-02-16 0.025013 0.458576 2.036304 5.871391 13.145531 24.770943 43.161934
2025-02-23 0.016597 0.408681 1.952717 5.831232 13.320325 25.420912 44.708468
2025-03-02 0.010097 0.358429 1.856352 5.754073 13.423018 25.955926 46.088572